A prominent forecaster, Mark Zandi of Moody’s Economy.com, predicted that the economy would be “off and running” next year. “The policy response, in its totality, has been very aggressive,” he said, “and I think ensures that the recovery will evolve into a self-sustaining expansion early in 2011.”
The recession officially ended in June 2009, when the economy started to grow again. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of the country’s output, grew at an annualized rate of 3.7 percent in the first quarter of this year. But then it stalled, with the rate falling to a mere 1.7 percent in the second quarter and 2.6 percent in the third quarter.
Jan Hatzius, the chief United States economist at Goldman Sachs, said the economy was likely to grow at an annualized rate of around 3 percent this quarter. Goldman projected last week that the growth rate would be 4 percent for most of 2011. Morgan Stanley, which raised its growth forecast for 2011 to 4 percent, is even more optimistic, forecasting a rate of 4.5 percent this quarter
These now face competition from warming relationships with western powers, and the regional dominance of the Chinese economy.
Mr Obama, in a warmly received address to India’s parliament, described India as “emerged” rather than an emerging power and market.
They have also addressed India’s concerns about security in south Asia, and the threat of extremism from Pakistan and Afghanistan.
Mr Obama, in a warmly received address to India’s parliament, described India as “emerged” rather than an emerging power and market.
They have also addressed India’s concerns about security in south Asia, and the threat of extremism from Pakistan and Afghanistan.